date:Oct 04, 2012
nconditional linear trend of 158.4. Based on a 2012 trend yield of 161 bushels, the forecast yield is 38.2 bushels below trend, 5.4 bushels larger than in 1988, a difference even more consistent with the differences in weather patterns.
The yield shortfall's not as clear-cut with soybeans this year compared to 1988. Based on trend yields leading up to this year and compared to 1988, Irwin and Good expect yields to be closer to 35 bushels/acre, higher than the ultimate output of just shy of 33 b